EFEKTIVITAS MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER JALUR HARGA ASET DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2016 - 2022

Authors

  • Kezia Angel Pinaria Universitas Negeri Jakarta Author
  • Harya Kuncara Wiralaga Universitas Negeri Jakarta Author
  • Ari Saptono Universitas Negeri Jakarta Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.69714/0cmp1k58

Keywords:

Monetary policy, inflation, BI7DRR, IHSG

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to find out how effective the monetary policy transmission mechanism is on the asset price path in 2016-2022 in Indonesia by looking at how inflation responds to changes (shocks) given by related variables and how each transmission variable contributes to explaining the final target which is to stabilize the prices of goods and services that in this research describes through the inflation rate. The analysis method used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) with Impulse Response Function (IRF) analysis and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD). The effectiveness of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in this research can be seen from the results of the Impulse Response Function analysis which found that the variables that provided the longest shocks in influencing inflation were, respectively, the inflation variable, RBI7DRR, RPUAB, IHSG, then IPBIBS. Then, the results of the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition analysis found that the variable that made the biggest contribution in explaining inflation was the inflation variable itself, followed by RBI7DRR, IPBIBS, IHSG, and RPUAB.

References

Anggela, N. L. (2022). Tren Inflasi 5 Tahun Terakhir, Sempat 1 Persenan. Ekonomi.Bisnis.Com. https://ekonomi.bisnis.com/read/20220902/9/1573340/t ren-inflasi-indonesia5-tahun-terakhir-sempat-1-persenan#:~:text=Kondisi inflasi di Indonesia 5,kisaran 1 persenan-4 persenan

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2023). Ekonomi Indonesia Tahun 2022 Tumbuh 5,31 Persen. Bps.Go.Id. https://www.bps.go.id/pressrelease/2023/02/06/1997/ekonomi- indonesia-tahun-2022-tumbuh-5-31-persen.html#:~:text=Ekonomi Indonesia tahun 2022 tumbuh sebesar 5%2C31 persen%2C lebih,pertumbuhan sebesar 3%2C70 persen

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2023). Pendapatan Nasional. Bps.Go.Id. https://www.bps.go.id/subject/11/produk-domestik-bruto--lapangan-usaha .html

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2022). Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB). Satudata.Kemendag.Co.Id. https://satudata.kemendag.go.id/datainformasi/per dagangandalamnegeri/produk-domestik-bruto

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2023). Produk Domestik Bruto Indonesia Triwulanan. 14. Balqish, R. P., Tanjung, A. A., & Lubis, I. (2022). Analisis Transmisi Kebijakan

Moneter Melalui Jalur Harga Aset dan Ekspektasi Inflasi di Indonesia. Jurnal Sosial Sains, 4(1), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.36418/matriks.v4i1.127

Bank Indonesia. (2016). Statistik Indikator Kinerja Pasar Uang Rupiah. https://www.bi.go.id/id/statistik/Metadata/SSKI/Documents/11_Metadata_Ind ikator_Pasar_Uang.pdf

Bank Indonesia. (2020). BI-7 Day Reverse Repo Rate (BI7DRR). Bi.Go.Id. https://www.bi.go.id/id/fungsi-utama/moneter/bi-7day-rr/default.aspx

Bank Indonesia. (2020). Inflasi. Bi.Go.Id. https://www.bi.go.id/id/fungsi- utama/moneter/inflasi/default.aspx

Bank Indonesia. (2020). Moneter. Bi.Go.Id. https://www.bi.go.id/id/fungsi- utama/moneter/default.aspx

Binekasri, R. (2022). Fakta-fakta IHSG & Pasar Modal RI Sepanjang 2022. Cnbcindonesia.Com. https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/market/2022123017243 5-17-401622/fakta--fakta-ihsg-pasar-modal-ri-sepanjang-2022

Biro Humas Kemnaker. (2020). Survei Kemnaker: 88 Persen Perusahaan Terdampak Pandemi Covid-19. Kementerian Ketenagakerjaan Republik Indonesia. https://kemnaker.go.id/

Bungin, H. M. B. (2010). Metodolologi Penelitian Kuantitatif (1st ed.). Kencana. Cheng, K. C. (2006). A VAR Analysis of Kenya’s Monetary Policy Transmission

Mechanism. In How Does the Central Bank’s REPO Rate Affect the Economy? (Vol. 1, Issue 1).

Dihni, V. A. (2022). Inflasi Tahunan RI Capai 4,35% di Juni 2022, Tertinggi dalam 5 TahunTerakhir. Databoks. Katadata.Co.Id. https://databoks.katadata.co.id/da tapublish/2022/07/01/inflasi-tahunan-ri-capai-435-di-juni-2022-tertinggi- dalam-5-tahun-terakhir

Dwihapsari, R., Kurniaputri, M. R., & Huda, N. (2021). Analisis Efektivitas Kebijakan Moneter dalam Perspektif Konvensional dan Syariah Terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia Tahun 2013-2020. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Islam, 7(2), 980–993. https://doi.org/10.29040/jiei.v7i2.2368

Firmansyah, M. (2022). Efektivitas Transmisi Kebijakan Moneter Melalui Jalur Kredit Perbankan dan Harga Aset Dalam Mencapai Inflasi. Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen, 6(2), 191–203. https://doi.org/10.31602/atd.v6i2.6897

Gujarati, D. N. (2003). Basic Econometrics (A. Bright (ed.); 4th ed.). McGraw-Hill. Hamzah, R. A., & Handri, H. (2017). Analisis Interest Rate Pass-Through pada

Mekanisme Transmisi Kebijakan Moneter Indonesia. Journal of Economics and Business, 1(1), 125. https://doi.org/10.33087/ekonomis.v1i1.13

Hanani, N., & Kardono. (2004). TEORI EKONOMI MAKRO Pendekatan Grafis dan Matematis (1st ed.). https://docplayer.info/32017478-Teori-ekonomi-makro- pendekatan-grafis-dan-matematis-edisi-pertama-nuhfil-hanani-kardono.html

Hidayah, A. (2022). Investor Pasar Modal Tembus 10 Juta, Jebolan SMU Mendominasi. Cnbcindonesia.Com. https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/market/ 20221121103752-17-389764/investor-pasar-modal-tembus-10-juta-jebolan- smu-mendominasi

Downloads

Published

17-07-2024

How to Cite

EFEKTIVITAS MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER JALUR HARGA ASET DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2016 - 2022 (Kezia Angel Pinaria, Harya Kuncara Wiralaga, & Ari Saptono , Trans.). (2024). Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Dan Akuntansi, 1(4), 157-168. https://doi.org/10.69714/0cmp1k58